Rosternomics

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Dan O'Brien Jr

Astros

1985–1995 · 11 drafts · 799 picks

Early-Round Selection
-19.7
#158 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+54.7
#5 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+67.4
#23 of 172
+6.13/draft
Hitter DVOS
+164.4
#5 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
360
#4 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF15126 +107.4
P48131 +63.9
IF2294 +56.1
C910 +0.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
198722Craig Biggio2B 65.84.9 +60.9
1988428Kenny LoftonOF 62.40.2 +62.2
198890Luis GonzalezOF 55.21.0 +54.2
198972Shane ReynoldsP 32.31.9 +30.4
1987781Darryl KileP 27.20.1 +27.2
199312Billy WagnerP 23.97.8 +16.1
1989877Frank CastilloP 18.20.1 +18.2
19921Phil Nevin1B 15.123.3 -8.2
19941193Julio LugoSS 13.90.1 +13.8
198927Todd JonesP 11.22.2 +9.0
199269Chris HoltP 8.01.9 +6.1
1994640John HalamaP 7.10.1 +7.1
198935Brian L. HunterOF 5.22.8 +2.4
198864Scott ServaisC 5.01.8 +3.2
199417Ramon CastroC 4.95.9 -1.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1985341.5 22.3-20.8
198648-0.3 22.4-22.8
19874590.8 17.9+73.0
198865121.1 27.4+93.7
19898871.0 28.8+42.1
1990100-1.1 23.5-24.5
1991101-0.6 41.8-42.4
19925124.3 40.9-16.6
19938123.4 19.1+4.3
199410031.6 29.1+2.6
199586-2.0 19.2-21.2
Total799 360 +67.4

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.