Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Dan O'Brien Jr

Astros

1985โ€“1995 ยท 11 drafts ยท 799 picks

Early-Round Selection
-21.4
#162 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+54.1
#5 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+62.5
#24 of 172
+5.68/draft
Hitter DVOS
+163.2
#5 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
360
#4 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF15126 +107.0
P48131 +62.7
IF2294 +55.5
C910 +0.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
198722Craig Biggio2B 65.85.0 +60.8
1988428Kenny LoftonOF 62.40.2 +62.2
198890Luis GonzalezOF 55.21.1 +54.1
198972Shane ReynoldsP 32.31.9 +30.4
1987781Darryl KileP 27.20.1 +27.2
199312Billy WagnerP 23.98.0 +15.9
1989877Frank CastilloP 18.20.1 +18.2
19921Phil Nevin1B 15.123.7 -8.5
19941193Julio LugoSS 13.90.1 +13.8
198927Todd JonesP 11.22.2 +8.9
199269Chris HoltP 8.01.9 +6.1
1994640John HalamaP 7.10.1 +7.1
198935Brian L. HunterOF 5.22.9 +2.3
198864Scott ServaisC 5.01.8 +3.1
199417Ramon CastroC 4.96.0 -1.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1985341.5 22.7-21.2
198648-0.3 22.8-23.2
19874590.8 18.1+72.7
198865121.1 27.8+93.3
19898871.0 29.3+41.6
1990100-1.1 23.8-24.9
1991101-0.6 42.4-43.0
19925124.3 41.6-17.3
19938123.4 19.4+4.0
199410031.6 29.6+2.0
199586-2.0 19.5-21.5
Total799 360โ€“ +62.5

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.