RRosternomics

← all scouting directors

Dan Kantrovitz

Cubs, Cardinals

2012–2014, 2020–present · 8 drafts · 212 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.3
#53 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-15.3
#138 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-37.5
#128 of 172
-4.69/draft
Hitter DVOS
+7.9
#99 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
106
#71 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1775 +34.5
C29 +7.7
OF311 +1.0
IF510 -0.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201219Michael WachaP 23.96.0 +17.9
201434Jack FlahertyP 18.12.8 +15.2
201319Marco GonzalesP 10.56.0 +4.5
201427Luke WeaverP 9.62.2 +7.4
201286Carson KellyC 9.41.0 +8.4
201236Stephen PiscottyOF 7.52.8 +4.6
2014135Austin GomberP 5.20.8 +4.4
2013665Luke Voit1B 5.10.1 +5.0
201252Patrick Wisdom3B 3.51.8 +1.7
20227Cade HortonP 2.29.2 -7.0
202414Cam SmithOF 2.15.8 -3.6
202313Matt Shaw3B 2.07.9 -5.9
201357Óscar MercadoOF 1.81.8 -0.0
2012300Rowan WickP 1.70.5 +1.3
2012240Kyle BarracloughP 1.00.5 +0.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20124447.2 27.1+20.1
20134118.2 19.3-1.1
20144233.3 17.6+15.8
202050.1 10.5-10.4
2021200.7 14.9-14.2
2022202.2 20.1-17.9
2023202.0 18.3-16.3
2024202.1 15.7-13.6
Total212 106 -37.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.