Rosternomics

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Chris Buckley

Reds, Blue Jays

2001–2002, 2007–2018 · 14 drafts · 641 picks

Early-Round Selection
-6.9
#101 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-48.9
#171 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-80.8
#166 of 172
-5.77/draft
Hitter DVOS
+29.5
#75 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
210
#31 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
C1158 +31.6
P5680 +21.0
IF1644 +6.3
OF2129 -8.3

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201012Yasmani GrandalC 40.07.8 +32.2
200734Todd Frazier3B 24.12.8 +21.2
20098Mike LeakeP 21.29.2 +12.0
200957Billy HamiltonOF 11.71.8 +9.9
2013225Tyler MahleP 11.50.5 +11.0
200779Zack CozartSS 10.31.9 +8.4
20172Hunter GreeneP 10.214.1 -3.9
200255Dave BushP 9.81.8 +8.1
201338Michael LorenzenP 9.32.8 +6.4
201249Jesse WinkerOF 8.72.3 +6.3
20185Jonathan India2B 7.88.9 -1.1
201511Tyler StephensonC 7.27.8 -0.7
2009299Tucker BarnhartC 5.80.5 +5.3
200115Gabe GrossOF 5.55.7 -0.2
20087Yonder Alonso1B 4.79.2 -4.5

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
2001507.7 17.3-9.6
20025012.1 17.7-5.5
20075334.9 22.4+12.5
2008494.3 19.3-15.1
20095139.8 23.5+16.4
20105039.0 19.4+19.6
2011505.8 12.4-6.6
2012427.9 20.3-12.5
20134124.1 15.6+8.5
2014413.9 19.1-15.2
20154113.2 21.6-8.4
201641-1.0 29.7-30.7
20174111.2 30.2-19.0
2018417.5 22.8-15.3
Total641 210 -80.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.