RRosternomics

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Brad Meador

Reds

2019–2021 · 3 drafts · 68 picks

Early-Round Selection
+10.1
#40 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-6.0
#88 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-31.1
#119 of 172
-10.36/draft
Hitter DVOS
-6.6
#142 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
26
#130 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P722 +5.8
OF30 -3.2
IF34 -3.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202153Andrew AbbottP 8.21.8 +6.4
20197Nick LodoloP 7.19.2 -2.1
2019174Graham AshcraftP 5.40.8 +4.6
202117Matt McLain2B 4.76.0 -1.3
2020143Joe BoyleP 1.70.8 +0.9
2021450Blake DunnOF 0.70.2 +0.4
201985Tyler CallihanOF 0.01.0 -1.0
2019144Evan KravetzP 0.00.8 -0.8

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20194011.7 21.2-9.6
202061.5 14.9-13.4
20212213.2 21.3-8.1
Total68 26 -31.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.