RRosternomics

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Brad Grant

Guardians

2008–2017 · 10 drafts · 443 picks

Early-Round Selection
+25.0
#18 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-7.0
#92 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+23.5
#45 of 172
+2.35/draft
Hitter DVOS
+73.6
#34 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
204
#34 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF20104 +84.8
P6475 +38.6
C413 +11.2
OF1612 -22.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20118Francisco LindorSS 60.99.2 +51.7
2016122Shane BieberP 21.31.0 +20.3
200963Jason Kipnis2B 21.01.8 +19.2
20105Drew PomeranzP 11.09.0 +2.0
20081011Roberto PérezC 10.70.1 +10.6
201692Aaron CivaleP 9.21.0 +8.1
2012203Joey Wendle2B 9.10.8 +8.3
200829Lonnie Chisenhall3B 8.02.2 +5.8
2011698Cody AllenP 6.80.1 +6.8
2017132Ernie Clement2B 6.60.8 +5.8
2011548Shawn ArmstrongP 4.40.2 +4.2
201542Triston McKenzieP 4.32.4 +1.9
2016362Zach PlesacP 4.10.3 +3.8
201215Tyler NaquinOF 3.65.8 -2.2
2015214Nathan LukesOF 3.50.8 +2.7

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20085019.6 13.3+6.2
20095019.9 17.4+2.4
20105012.1 21.0-8.9
20115074.9 21.0+53.9
20124012.9 16.3-3.5
2013392.4 19.5-17.1
2014429.2 21.7-12.5
2015417.6 19.4-11.8
20164138.3 18.8+19.5
2017407.6 12.4-4.9
Total443 204 +23.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.