Rosternomics

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Bobby Heck

Astros

2009–2012 · 4 drafts · 194 picks

Early-Round Selection
+21.1
#21 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+15.6
#25 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+88.3
#17 of 172
+22.07/draft
Hitter DVOS
+86.5
#28 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
191
#37 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF873 +46.0
P1358 +42.0
OF658 +37.9
C13 +2.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20121Carlos CorreaSS 41.723.3 +18.4
201111George SpringerOF 40.27.8 +32.4
2009611J.D. MartinezDH 32.10.1 +32.0
2009221Dallas KeuchelP 20.40.5 +19.9
201241Lance McCullers Jr.P 14.72.3 +12.3
2009191Enrique HernándezOF 10.20.8 +9.4
201058Vince VelasquezP 8.71.8 +7.0
201169Adrian HouserP 8.11.9 +6.2
201019Mike FoltynewiczP 5.35.9 -0.6
20108Delino DeShieldsOF 4.09.1 -5.1
2012189Brett PhillipsOF 3.60.8 +2.9
2012249Tyler HeinemanC 3.00.5 +2.6
2011160Nick TropeanoP 1.50.8 +0.7
2011610Matt Duffy1B 0.10.1 +0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20095162.5 17.0+45.5
20105217.8 29.4-11.6
20115049.9 19.5+30.4
20124160.6 36.6+24.0
Total194 191 +88.3

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.