RRosternomics

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Bobby Heck

Astros

2009–2012 · 4 drafts · 194 picks

Early-Round Selection
+20.8
#22 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+15.6
#25 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+88.7
#16 of 172
+22.17/draft
Hitter DVOS
+87.1
#28 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
192
#37 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF872 +45.7
P1358 +42.1
OF658 +38.5
C13 +2.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20121Carlos CorreaSS 41.723.5 +18.1
201111George SpringerOF 40.67.9 +32.7
2009611J.D. MartinezDH 32.00.1 +32.0
2009221Dallas KeuchelP 20.40.5 +19.9
201241Lance McCullers Jr.P 14.72.4 +12.4
2009191Enrique HernándezOF 10.50.8 +9.7
201058Vince VelasquezP 8.81.8 +6.9
201169Adrian HouserP 8.41.9 +6.5
201019Mike FoltynewiczP 5.36.0 -0.6
20108Delino DeShieldsOF 4.09.2 -5.2
2012189Brett PhillipsOF 3.60.8 +2.9
2012249Tyler HeinemanC 3.40.5 +2.9
2011160Nick TropeanoP 1.50.8 +0.6
2011610Matt Duffy1B 0.10.1 +0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20095162.8 17.2+45.6
20105217.9 29.7-11.8
20115050.5 19.6+30.9
20124161.0 37.0+24.0
Total194 192 +88.7

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.