Rosternomics

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Bobby Heck

Astros

2009–2012 Β· 4 drafts Β· 194 picks

Early-Round Selection
+20.5
#21 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+15.5
#25 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+88.9
#16 of 172
+22.24/draft
Hitter DVOS
+87.5
#28 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
193
#36 of 172

Value by position β€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF873 +45.6
P1358 +42.3
OF659 +39.1
C13 +2.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking β€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half β‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (β‰ˆ 0) β€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks β€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201111George SpringerOF 41.78.0 +33.8
20121Carlos CorreaSS 41.723.7 +18.0
2009611J.D. MartinezDH 32.00.1 +32.0
2009221Dallas KeuchelP 20.40.5 +19.9
201241Lance McCullers Jr.P 14.72.4 +12.3
2009191Enrique HernΓ‘ndezOF 10.20.8 +9.4
201058Vince VelasquezP 8.81.8 +6.9
201169Adrian HouserP 8.71.9 +6.8
201019Mike FoltynewiczP 5.36.0 -0.7
20108Delino DeShieldsOF 4.09.3 -5.3
2012189Brett PhillipsOF 3.60.8 +2.8
2012249Tyler HeinemanC 3.30.5 +2.8
2011160Nick TropeanoP 1.50.8 +0.6
2011610Matt Duffy1B 0.10.1 +0.0

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20095162.6 17.3+45.3
20105217.9 30.0-12.1
20115052.0 19.8+32.2
20124160.9 37.2+23.6
Total194 193– +88.9

DVOS = Ξ£ (a pick's career fWAR βˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in β€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated β€” one star swamps a class β€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.