RRosternomics

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Bill Schmidt

Rockies

2000–2014 · 15 drafts · 731 picks

Early-Round Selection
+2.1
#60 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-24.4
#158 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+3.0
#62 of 172
+0.20/draft
Hitter DVOS
+161.4
#6 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
326
#9 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF29142 +97.6
OF2280 +55.3
C712 +8.5
P6392 -1.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
200959Nolan Arenado3B 53.01.8 +51.2
20057Troy TulowitzkiSS 37.89.2 +28.6
201145Trevor StorySS 26.42.4 +24.0
200872Charlie BlackmonOF 20.81.9 +19.0
20133Jon GrayP 19.411.1 +8.3
2004410Dexter FowlerOF 19.30.2 +19.0
20148Kyle FreelandP 15.99.2 +6.7
20029Jeff FrancisP 15.47.8 +7.6
201120Tyler AndersonP 14.16.0 +8.1
200450Seth SmithOF 14.02.4 +11.6
201342Ryan McMahon3B 12.62.4 +10.3
2010260Corey DickersonOF 12.20.5 +11.7
2004110Chris IannettaC 8.91.0 +7.8
2000287Clint Barmes2B 7.80.5 +7.3
2005627Chris MartinP 7.10.1 +7.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20005017.7 22.7-5.0
2001500.9 14.1-13.2
20025119.4 21.3-1.8
2003504.9 21.3-16.4
20045039.9 21.3+18.6
20055247.1 25.9+21.1
2006504.8 27.6-22.8
200750-5.1 20.4-25.5
20085023.1 16.1+6.9
20095258.0 25.2+32.8
20105115.2 15.8-0.5
20115140.4 19.5+20.9
2012427.5 21.8-14.4
20134138.3 25.9+12.4
20144113.9 24.1-10.2
Total731 326 +3.0

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.