RRosternomics

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Bill Gayton

Padres

2001–2009 · 9 drafts · 427 picks

Early-Round Selection
-11.1
#127 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+15.2
#26 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-12.1
#84 of 172
-1.34/draft
Hitter DVOS
+52.8
#49 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
200
#35 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF2685 +52.4
P37101 +44.6
OF1011 +2.4
C42 -1.9

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
2007134Corey KluberP 38.30.8 +37.5
200566Chase Headley3B 26.81.9 +24.9
2006333Mat LatosP 19.70.3 +19.4
2006273David Freese3B 19.20.5 +18.7
2001390Jason BartlettSS 17.00.3 +16.7
2009204Miles MikolasP 14.60.8 +13.8
2005218Will VenableOF 13.10.8 +12.3
200213Khalil GreeneSS 8.07.9 +0.2
200846Logan Forsythe2B 7.62.4 +5.2
2008555Nick VincentP 5.20.2 +5.0
200781Eric Sogard2B 4.81.0 +3.7
20081275Brad BrachP 4.60.1 +4.5
200661Wade LeBlancP 4.21.8 +2.4
20034Tim StaufferP 3.810.4 -6.7
20041241Kyle Blanks1B 3.60.1 +3.6

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20014118.6 17.3+1.3
2002509.0 19.9-10.9
2003504.6 23.9-19.3
2004497.2 34.6-27.4
20055241.2 22.5+18.7
20064741.7 22.0+19.7
20074245.9 26.9+19.0
20084617.8 21.5-3.7
20095013.6 23.1-9.5
Total427 200 -12.1

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.