Rosternomics

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Andrew Tinnish

Blue Jays

2010–2012 · 3 drafts · 155 picks

Early-Round Selection
+4.9
#49 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
+8.5
#30 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+23.3
#46 of 172
+7.78/draft
Hitter DVOS
+11.6
#94 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
109
#67 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P2592 +55.0
OF510 +6.6
IF46 +5.0
C10 -0.1

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201222Marcus StromanP 24.94.9 +20.0
201038Noah SyndergaardP 21.92.8 +19.1
201146Joe MusgroveP 18.02.3 +15.6
2011199Anthony DeSclafaniP 11.50.8 +10.7
2011979Kevin PillarOF 10.90.1 +10.9
2011559Jon Berti3B 6.50.2 +6.2
201034Aaron SanchezP 6.12.8 +3.2
201174Daniel NorrisP 5.01.9 +3.1
2010126Sam DysonP 3.01.0 +2.0
2011889Taylor ColeP 1.40.1 +1.3
2012475Ryan BoruckiP 1.30.2 +1.0
201041Asher WojciechowskiP 1.12.3 -1.2
20101056Danny BarnesP 0.50.1 +0.4
2010486Dalton PompeyOF 0.20.2 -0.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20105631.8 32.2-0.4
20115552.1 26.7+25.4
20124424.7 26.4-1.7
Total155 109 +23.3

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.