RRosternomics

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Al Goldis

Cubs, Brewers

1992, 1995 · 2 drafts · 112 picks

Early-Round Selection
+3.7
#56 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-9.2
#113 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-15.5
#92 of 172
-7.77/draft
Hitter DVOS
-4.0
#131 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
35
#118 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P936 +20.0
OF1-0 -0.4
IF20 -0.9
C1-0 -2.7

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
19954Kerry WoodP 24.710.4 +14.3
1992164Scott KarlP 10.20.8 +9.4
19951451Justin SpeierP 1.90.1 +1.8
1992780Tim Unroe1B 0.20.1 +0.2

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
1992519.6 24.7-15.2
19956125.8 26.1-0.4
Total112 35 -15.5

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.