Rosternomics

โ† all scouting directors

Mike Arbuckle

Phillies

1993โ€“2000 ยท 8 drafts ยท 369 picks

Early-Round Selection
+27.0
#15 of 172
rds 1โ€“10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-17.3
#145 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
+147.2
#2 of 172
+18.41/draft
Hitter DVOS
+187.6
#2 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
334
#7 of 172

Value by position โ€” where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF9200 +184.1
P2682 +37.5
C22 +1.9
OF849 +1.6

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking โ€” per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half โ‰ˆ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (โ‰ˆ 0) โ€” so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks โ€” who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
199346Scott Rolen3B 69.92.4 +67.5
200015Chase Utley2B 61.55.8 +55.7
199646Jimmy RollinsSS 49.72.4 +47.3
199754Randy WolfP 29.91.8 +28.0
1999306Marlon ByrdOF 22.10.3 +21.8
19981Pat BurrellOF 19.023.7 -4.7
199912Brett MyersP 17.38.0 +9.3
1998614Nick Punto2B 15.10.1 +15.1
199611Adam EatonP 12.78.0 +4.6
1998254Ryan MadsonP 12.20.5 +11.7
1998104Jason MichaelsOF 9.11.0 +8.0
199542Marlon Anderson2B 5.82.4 +3.4
2000175Taylor BuchholzP 3.10.8 +2.4
1997506Johnny EstradaC 2.40.2 +2.2
199530David CogginP 1.92.2 -0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
19934272.4 24.3+48.0
199453-1.0 17.6-18.6
1995548.0 22.8-14.8
19965062.3 21.6+40.7
19974433.6 26.1+7.5
19984455.7 39.3+16.4
19994439.2 19.4+19.7
20003863.7 15.5+48.2
Total369 334โ€“ +147.2

DVOS = ฮฃ (a pick's career fWAR โˆ’ the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in โ€” see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated โ€” one star swamps a class โ€” so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.