Rosternomics

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Shane Farrell

Blue Jays

2020–2024 · 5 drafts · 86 picks

Early-Round Selection
-19.2
#157 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.9
#108 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-73.8
#161 of 172
-14.76/draft
Hitter DVOS
-8.6
#150 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
4
#150 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
OF21 -8.6
P53 -10.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
202420Trey YesavageP 1.85.9 -4.1
20205Austin MartinOF 1.58.9 -7.5
2022158Mason FluhartyP 0.80.8 +0.0
2021392Matt SvansonP 0.70.3 +0.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
202051.5 15.0-13.5
2021190.3 14.0-13.7
2022220.8 18.6-17.8
2023190.0 14.0-14.0
2024211.8 16.6-14.8
Total86 4 -73.8

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.