RRosternomics

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Shane Farrell

Blue Jays

2020–2024 · 5 drafts · 86 picks

Early-Round Selection
-19.9
#160 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.7
#111 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-74.6
#162 of 172
-14.92/draft
Hitter DVOS
-9.7
#153 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
4
#153 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
IF1-0 -1.2
OF22 -8.5
P73 -14.4

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
20205Austin MartinOF 1.69.0 -7.4
202420Trey YesavageP 1.56.0 -4.4
2021392Matt SvansonP 1.00.3 +0.7
2022158Mason FluhartyP 0.60.8 -0.3
2021121Chad DallasP 0.11.0 -0.9
202042CJ Van EykP 0.02.4 -2.4

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
202051.6 15.1-13.5
2021190.7 14.1-13.4
2022220.4 18.7-18.3
2023190.0 14.1-14.1
2024211.4 16.7-15.4
Total86 4 -74.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.