RRosternomics

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Eddie Longosz

Nationals

2016–2017 · 2 drafts · 81 picks

Early-Round Selection
-6.1
#97 of 172
rds 1–10, cost-ctrl
Late-Round Value
-8.1
#105 of 172
rds 11+, total career
Total DVOS
-15.6
#94 of 172
-7.78/draft
Hitter DVOS
-11.7
#156 of 172
reliable skill (+0.54)
Career fWAR drafted
15
#140 of 172

Value by position — where the value came from (descriptive)

PosPicksfWARDVOS
P1321 +8.3
C10 -0.6
OF1-0 -1.3
IF5-5 -9.8

Position from each player's primary MLB fielding spot; never-MLB picks excluded. This table is descriptive, not a skill ranking — per-position DVOS isn't reliable at this granularity (split-half ≈ 0 for P/OF, a small-sample mirage for C). The one reliable position cut is Hitter vs Pitcher: drafting hitters (C/IF/OF) above slot repeats (split-half +0.54, the KPI above), but drafting pitchers above slot does not (≈ 0) — so we rank Hitter DVOS and leave pitcher out.

Top picks — who drove the value

YrOvrPlayerPosfWARExpDVOS
201694Jesús LuzardoP 16.41.0 +15.3
201629Dane DunningP 5.22.2 +3.0
2017613Jake CousinsP 0.30.1 +0.3
2016184Tres BarreraC 0.20.8 -0.6
2016544Ben BraymerP 0.20.2 -0.1
20171093Gabe KlobositsP 0.20.1 +0.1

By draft class

YearPicksfWARExpectedDVOS
20164116.4 15.5+0.9
201740-1.0 15.5-16.5
Total81 15 -15.6

DVOS = Σ (a pick's career fWAR − the expected fWAR for that overall slot), credited to the scouting director SABR lists for that draft. We only attribute years with one unambiguous director on record; years where SABR lists multiple names (handoffs/overlaps) or none are left out, so a director's record here may skip years he was involved in — see the coverage note on the leaderboard. Single drafts are noise-dominated — one star swamps a class — so read the multi-year totals, not any one year. Full method on the DVOS page.